America's Future · Cohort Watch

Women 40–49 — mammography

Women newly eligible for routine mammography under updated guidance.

Moderate gap · 33%Overall priority rank #3

What one action helps most

Maintain + monitor

Gap and risk are contained; keep current screening cadence and watch the trend.

A signal to act, not a diagnosis.

Priority

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Intervention-priority score

priority = screening gap × risk weight × log₁₀(size). It ranks where a single action closes the biggest closable gap. Higher = act sooner. It is aggregate decision-support, not a diagnosis.

79

Screening gap

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Screening gap

The share of this cohort with an open screening gap (0–100%). Higher means more people are due for a screening they have not yet had.

33%

Size

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Cohort size

The number of people in this aggregate group — a count only, never a list. Larger high-gap groups rank higher because one action reaches more people.

22,100

Risk factors
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Risk factors

The aggregate drivers behind this cohort's overall risk, each weighted 0–1. The heaviest factor is the most useful place to target outreach.

  • First-degree family history70%
  • Insurance churn52%

Trend over time
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Trend

Compares the screening gap in the most recent period to the one before it. A falling gap is improving (fewer people unscreened); rising is worsening.

Improving

Screening gap down 3 pts vs Q3 2025.

Screening gap by period for Women 40–49 — mammography
PeriodScreening gapRisk
Q1 202544%57%
Q2 202540%56%
Q3 202536%55%
Q4 202533%55%

Provable-first: a SHA-256 over this cohort's exact aggregate numbers and the published method.

cohort.audit
$ priority "Women 40–49 — mammography"
gap=33% risk=55% size=22100
priority=79
sha256: 07601c7ea41e9df7865f4e77d9077b1c0b46e195edbb69035e7aa8aaa652285a

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